State Space Models

All state space models are written and estimated in the R programming language. The models are available here with instructions and R procedures for manipulating the models here here.

Friday, April 24, 2015

The Gold Hammer


Analysts seem surprised that Gold is getting hammered (chart about and commentary here). Crude Oil is also taking a beating. Please see my post from July 8, 2014 (here) and recall that analysts were predicting Gold to hit $1450 an ounce before the end of 2015. My forecast from last year remains unchanged. 

Note that the Financial Forecast Center is also prediction a decline in the price of Gold (here and in the chart above) and Oil (here and in the chart below).