The NY Times today (here) reported on the mounting list of problems at Research in Motion (RIMM): declining stock prices, declining market share, proliferation of models, problems with the new tablet product (Playbook), delay in introducing both new products and the new operating system. My intention is not to pile on here, but the Random Stock Walker is always interested in the dynamics of companies that are about to collapse. What do my models say about RIMM?
First, RIM's stock price is pretty strongly being driven by growth of the World System. This is generally a good thing for a stock. However, from the attractor forecast, above, it's probably too late for RIMM to recover. The decline started in mid-2005 and was not arrested by a pop during the Financial Bubble. The stock, in all probability, does not have much more time before it is worthless.
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